Capacity use and booking trends in European natural gas markets

  • Gas
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Gas-capacity-booking

2025 Monitoring Report

This report on gas network use provides a comprehensive overview of capacity booking and usage trends in the EU, exploring how diversified supply, demand shifts and evolving capacity booking strategies are reshaping gas flows across the EU.

This monitoring report compares gas capacity use and booking data from 2021 to mid-2025 and analyses the main market shifts triggered by the energy crisis in 2022 (e.g. phase-out of Russian natural gas, increase in liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports, and lower gas demand). It also examines the impact of ending Russian gas transit via Ukraine as of 1 January 2025 on flow dynamics and capacity use across Southeast Europe.

What are the key findings?

The EU’s integrated gas system has proven resilient to the energy crisis, reconfiguring its gas flows in response to changing supply and demand patterns. 

  • Europe’s reliance on Russian gas pipeline imports has fallen from circa 40% to 6% of total imports since 2021.
  • Since the end of 2021, gas flows have reversed direction at 40% of gas interconnection points across the EU, driven by the phasing out of Russian pipeline gas.
  • Lower gas demand and increasing LNG’s supply reduced transit flows in some countries, leading to fewer capacity bookings and putting upward pressure on tariffs. Gas demand in the EU is expected to further decline from 40 to 90 billion cubic meters by 2030.
  • Capacity bookings are adapting to new gas market conditions. Many long-term legacy contracts are expiring or have been terminated due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Instead shippers are now securing capacities on alternative routes through auctions underpinned by the EU-wide capacity allocation mechanism (CAM) network code.
  • Lower pipeline congestion at EU level, but some supply bottlenecks persist. Infrastructure upgrades and lower gas demand have eased the peak congestion that affected Northwest Europe in 2022. Since 2024, high network use in Southeast Europe (including increased gas volumes to Ukraine in 2025 following the end of Russian gas transit), created significant congestion risks at several interconnection points in the region.

What are ACER’s recommendations?

Ensuring a flexible energy system and an efficient decarbonisation process requires robust regulatory oversight and close coordination among stakeholders. As such, ACER recommends: 

  • Transmission system operators (TSOs) should enhance transparency and coordination in gas capacity optimisation. At the same time, regulators should facilitate efficient gas capacity use across Member States.

  • National regulators should ensure a full and consistent application of the EU rules (CAM network code) without exceptions to maintain a transparent, predictable, and standardised capacity allocation process, fostering competition and integration of EU gas market.

  • Future gas infrastructure investment by Member States should be targeted to solve persistent bottlenecks, align with the EU’s energy and climate goals and ensure security of supply. Regulators must ensure transparent and efficient distribution of congestion revenues to reduce and stabilise tariffs for European network users.

Highlights

  • 40%

    of EU interconnection points have seen their flow direction reversed since 2021 to adjust to new market dynamics. 

  • -30%

    gas capacity booked at EU level since 2021, showing Europe’s decreasing gas demand and increasing supply flexibility driven by higher LNG imports.

  • 50%

    of gas capacity used is contracted through the EU wide standardised capacity allocation mechanism, promoting a more transparent and predictable capacity allocation process.

Report

This report:

  • provides a comprehensive overview of capacity booking and usage trends in the EU;

  • explores how diversified supply, demand shifts and evolving capacity booking strategies (triggered by the energy crisis in 2022) are reshaping gas flows across the EU.

  Access the report. 

 

Additional information

No

Key developments in European gas wholesale markets - Q3 2025

  • Gas
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Gas pipelines

2025 Monitoring Report

This report provides insights into European gas wholesale markets during the final months of the gas summer season (July to September 2025), highlighting main trends in gas supply, demand and market prices. 

The analysis helps inform policies aimed at ensuring secure and competitively priced gas in the EU. 

What trends did ACER monitoring find?

  • Prices and volatility: After a challenging and volatile first half of 2025, European gas markets entered one of the calmest periods in recent years during the third quarter. Both wholesale prices and market volatility declined. Gas imports to the EU increased even as pipeline gas from Russia further declined. Orderly storage filling contributed to the calmness of gas markets. Imports increased year-on-year, while consumption remained in line with Q3 2024 and about 19% below the long-term average of the last five pre-energy crisis years (2017-2021).
  • Gas storage: Injections into underground storage exceeded levels recorded in the previous two summers. Despite higher injections, European gas storage stocks reached 82% capacity by the end of Q3 2025, below the levels recorded at the start of the last three heating seasons. This is because of large withdrawals during the 2024/2025 winter. This leaves European markets more reliant on imports over the coming winter, particularly if demand is higher than expected.
  • LNG imports: Amid high storage injection demand in both the EU and Ukraine and lower Russian pipeline supply, liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports increased by 38% year-on-year. At the same time, demand from other major buyers (such as China and Japan) remained stable and global LNG production rose, leading LNG prices to decline even as import volumes increased.
  • EU gas market integration drove gas flows in the right direction to Central and Eastern Europe: As LNG’s share of supply grew, gas flows adjusted to supply markets with limited or no direct access to LNG. This eastward redirection of gas flows reflected wholesale market signals (from lower- to higher-priced hubs). This means price differences between Western European hubs and those in Italy, Central and Eastern Europe were higher than usual for a second consecutive quarter.

Looking ahead 

It remains uncertain whether the price stability observed in Q3 2025 will continue or prove to be temporary. What is clear is the ongoing expansion of the global LNG market. Large liquefaction terminals that began operations in 2025 are already having a positive impact on the availability of LNG cargoes. More projects are expected to come online in the coming months.

Highlights

  • 19%

    lower EU gas consumption compared with long-term average.

  • -8%

    quarter-on-quarter decline of EU average spot gas prices.

  • +38%

    year-on-year increase in LNG imports, supporting storage injections amid lower Russian pipeline supply.

Report

ACER’s report on key developments in European gas wholesale markets (Q3 2025) analyses:

  • market trends and price developments;
  • storage and import dynamics; and
  • gas flows and market integration across the EU.

  Access the report

Additional information

No

EU gas markets stabilise amid rising LNG imports

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Gas pipelines
Intro News
ACER’s latest report on key developments in European gas wholesale markets examines key trends in gas supply, demand and market prices during the final months of the gas summer season (July to September 2025).

EU gas markets stabilise amid rising LNG imports

What is it about?

Published today, ACER’s latest report on key developments in European gas wholesale markets examines key trends in gas supply, demand and market prices during the final months of the gas summer season (July to September 2025). The analysis helps inform policies aimed at ensuring secure and competitively priced gas in the EU. 

What trends did ACER monitoring find? 

  • Wholesale prices and volatility declined, marking one of the calmest periods for European gas markets in recent years. Higher gas imports, stable consumption and orderly storage filling contributed to this stability.
  • Gas storage: Injections into underground storage exceeded levels of the previous two summers. European stocks reached 82% capacity, below levels at the start of the last three heating seasons, leaving EU markets more reliant on imports this winter.
  • LNG imports: Liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports rose by 38% year-on-year amid high storage demand and lower Russian pipeline supply. Stable demand from other major buyers and rising global LNG production contributed to lower prices despite higher import volumes.
  • EU gas market integration drove gas flows in the right direction to Central and Eastern Europe: As LNG’s share of supply grew, gas flows were redirected eastward to markets with limited or no direct LNG access, reflecting wholesale market signals (from lower- to higher-priced hubs).

ACER and European Commission workshop: REMIT implementation updates

ACER and European Commission workshop: REMIT implementation updates

Online
28/11/2025 09:00 - 13:00 (Europe/Brussels)
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ACER to review the methodology for electricity redispatching and countertrading cost sharing for the Core region

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electricity pylon sharing costs
Intro News
ACER initiates the review of its Decision 30/2020 on the electricity redispatching and countertrading cost sharing methodology for the Core capacity calculation region.

ACER to review the methodology for electricity redispatching and countertrading cost sharing for the Core region

What is it about?

Today, ACER initiates the review of its Decision 30/2020 on the electricity redispatching and countertrading cost sharing methodology for the Core capacity calculation region.  

What is a capacity calculation region?

A capacity calculation region is a set of electrically interdependent bidding zone borders, where capacity calculation, regional operational security, redispatching and countertrading costs sharing tasks are coordinated by that region’s transmission system operators (TSOs).

The Core capacity calculation region involves the TSOs and bidding zone borders of Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Hungary, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. It is the biggest European region, involving 13 Member States, 16 TSOs and 19 bidding zone borders.

What is the methodology about? 

The cost sharing methodology allocates the costs from redispatching and countertrading remedial actions within a capacity calculation region. These actions are triggered to solve network congestions occurring within the region. 

Specifically, this methodology tracks how each action affects congested network elements and assigns the related costs to the responsible TSOs, based on the order of flow types (loop, internal, allocated and power-shifting transformer flows). Loop flows are charged first, however according to the Electricity Regulation, its portion below a given threshold is exempted.

Why amend the methodology?

On foot of the ACER Board of Appeal Decision of 31 July 2025, ACER is now revising its Decision 30/2020 and the methodology accordingly.

What are the next steps?

ACER aims to adopt its Decision by the end of January 2026.

ACER to decide on amending the methodology for procuring electricity balancing capacity

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Electricity pylons on a green field
Intro News
ACER received a proposal from the European Network of Transmission System Operators for electricity (ENTSO-E) to amend the methodology for the regional procurement of balancing capacity.

ACER to decide on amending the methodology for procuring electricity balancing capacity

What is it about?

On 26 September 2025, ACER received a proposal from the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) to amend the methodology for the regional procurement of balancing capacity.

What is the methodology about?

Transmission system operators (TSOs) must always keep the power system in balance. TSOs usually procure the balancing capacity needed at national level, but to lower procurement costs, they may opt for utilising available voluntary balancing bids from other countries (e.g. made available when local capacity exceeds national needs).  If transmission capacity is expected to be available across bidding zones during balancing, these bids can also be used to reduce balancing capacity needs. 

The methodology for the regional procurement of balancing capacity enables regional coordination centres (RCCs) to evaluate how voluntary balancing bids can be utilised effectively across borders. Following this evaluation, regional coordination centres provide TSOs with recommendations to reduce the volume of procured balancing capacity, hence utilising the flexibility of the EU electricity system. 

Why amend the methodology?

As requested by ACER, European TSOs propose to update the reliability parameters used by regional coordination centres to assess the availability of cross-zonal capacity and voluntary balancing bids. This is important as reliability parameters need to reflect the most relevant data, enabling TSOs to procure balancing capacity efficiently, and at the same time managing their operational risks. This change should foster a more transparent and coordinated process and improve the balancing of EU power system.

What are the next steps? 

ACER will decide by 5 January 2026.

Interested parties may submit comments or questions to ACER-ELE-2025-009@acer.europa.eu by 31 October 2025.

ACER invites energy market associations to help shape REMIT implementation

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People discussing at table
Intro News
ACER encourages European associations of energy market participants to engage in stakeholder activities supporting REMIT implementation from 2026 to 2028.

ACER invites energy market associations to help shape REMIT implementation

What is it about?

ACER encourages European associations of energy market participants to engage in stakeholder activities supporting REMIT implementation from 2026 to 2028.

We welcome associations with expertise in the areas of electricity, natural gas, liquified natural gas (LNG) and hydrogen, dealing with supply, transportation and storage, including energy derivatives (where relevant for REMIT reporting framework).

What’s behind this?

The Regulation on Wholesale Energy Market Integrity and Transparency (REMIT) is the EU framework that aims to prevent wholesale energy market abuse and support fair competition. The Regulation was revised in 2024 to keep pace with evolving market dynamics.

To ensure the revised Regulation is implemented effectively and consistently, ACER works closely with different stakeholders across the EU. European associations of energy market participants are key to bringing practical experience and sector-wide perspectives that help align implementation with real market practices.

How will associations contribute?

Associations participating in ACER’s stakeholder activities will:

  • provide input on the revision of the REMIT data reporting framework, including updates to the reporting guidance; and
  • exchange views on practical aspects of REMIT implementation and related challenges.

Engagement may include targeted consultations, roundtable meetings, webinars or other interactive activities, allowing associations to directly contribute to shaping REMIT implementation.

Who can join? 

ACER plans to establish two lists of associations:

  1. EU associations of energy market participants, representing members from several EU Member States, to take part in regular stakeholder activities.
  2. Associations of energy market participants, representing international, national or local views, to be engaged on an ad hoc basis depending on the topic.

ACER will seek balanced and diverse participation, representing different energy market segments and expertise at EU level.

Interested in applying? 

Submit your application by 31 October 2025. Late submissions will not be considered.

See how to apply.

ACER reiterates its call for stronger transparency in the selection of energy infrastructure projects

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Hydrogen and electricity infrastructure
Intro News
ACER publishes its Opinion on the draft lists of proposed Projects of Common Interest (PCIs) and Projects of Mutual Interest (PMIs) for 2025. The PCIs/PMIs lists include energy infrastructure projects prioritised at EU level given their importance.

ACER reiterates its call for stronger transparency in the selection of energy infrastructure projects

What is it about?

Today, ACER publishes its biennial Opinion on the draft lists of proposed projects of common interest (PCIs) and projects of mutual interest (PMIs) for 2025. 

The PCIs/PMIs lists include energy infrastructure projects prioritised at EU level given their impact to significantly enhance the cross-border links among the energy systems of EU countries (and third-party countries in the case of PMIs). These projects can benefit from accelerated permitting procedures, regulatory treatment and funding, as they are identified as key contributors for integrating renewables, boosting cross-border capacity and advancing Europe’s climate and energy goals.

What is the role of ACER?

ACER’s role in the PCIs/PMIs selection process, as defined by the TEN-E Regulation, is to verify that the relevant methodologies and criteria are applied consistently and transparently across regions in the projects’ selection process. A fair and credible process ensures that the most beneficial projects are prioritised in developing trans-European energy infrastructure. ACER’s role is not to give a ‘second opinion’ on the merits of the different projects nor to help decision makers rank such projects for ultimate selection.

What are the key conclusions?

In its Opinion, ACER found:

  • Delays in the availability of Ten-Year Network Development Plans (TYNDPs) data and their cost-benefit results, which hindered the projects’ assessment.
  • Infrastructure needs have been identified only per Member State, without sufficient identification of capacity needs per border.
  • Unclear distinction of monetised and non-monetised benefits in the ranking of projects, reducing clarity on how these are prioritised.
  • Lack of justifications of the projects added on top of the formal proposals from the Regional Groups. The Regional Groups are chaired by the European Commission and include representatives from Member States, transmission system operators, project promoters, energy regulators and ACER. Their role is to assess the projects' potential contribution to EU energy priorities.
  • Difficulty for regulators, due to insufficient data, to properly assess several hydrogen project candidates, including their underlying benefits, in the lists. 
  • The draft PCIs/PMIs lists do not clearly distinguish between mature and less mature electricity projects.

As these obstacles may affect the credibility and robustness of the selection process, ACER recommends to:

  • Deliver the TYNDP data on time and in good quality for the PCIs/PMIs selection process.
  • Introduce an assessment of capacity needs per border per each energy vector, thus improving the needs assessment methodology.
  • Clearly distinguish between projects’ monetised and non-monetised benefits.
  • Ensure greater transparency in complementary project evaluations, if these can’t be avoided.
  • Ensure that the complete set of project data is made available for the national regulatory authorities’ assessment in due time, to allow them to conduct thorough and consistent analyses.
  • Introduce maturity criteria for electricity projects to clearly distinguish between mature and less mature projects on the electricity PCIs/PMIs lists. This would ensure transparent prioritisation and allow support for less mature projects when they are ready for construction.
  • Consider multiple scenarios, in line with ACER’s Scenario Guidelines, to test the robustness of results.

What are the next steps?

By addressing these issues, the PCIs/PMIs selection process will become more transparent, consistent and credible, ensuring Europe invests in the right infrastructure to meet its energy and climate goals.