The Ireland and Northern Ireland adequacy assessment highlights interconnection as central to security of electricity supply
The Ireland and Northern Ireland adequacy assessment highlights interconnection as central to security of electricity supply
What is it about?
Today, ACER releases its Opinion on the All-Island Resource Adequacy Assessments for Ireland, Northern Ireland and the Single Electricity Market (SEM) as a whole. The assessment was jointly prepared by the transmission system operators (TSOs) of both jurisdictions (EirGrid and SONI), complementing the European Resource Adequacy Assessment (ERAA) 2025.
What is a resource adequacy assessment?
The ERAA evaluates electricity resource adequacy across the EU and provides a consistent framework to assess whether additional national measures are needed to ensure security of supply. It is carried out annually by the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) and reviewed by ACER.
Member States can complement the European analysis through national adequacy assessments (NRAAs) to reflect local conditions. When a national assessment identifies differences from the European assessment, ACER issues an opinion.
What did ACER find?
ACER finds that most differences between the All-Island Resource Adequacy Assessment and the ERAA are justified, as they reflect national trends and include additional modelling detail, enhancing accuracy.
ACER also highlights two factors with a major impact on adequacy:
- The planned second North-South Interconnector is included only in the SEM-wide assessment, meaning its contribution to adequacy is not captured in all three analyses. Once operational (expected by 2031), it would help keep adequacy risks in the SEM within the reliability standard in 2033 and 2035, strengthening security of supply across the island and highlighting the importance of increased cross-zonal capacity for resource adequacy.
- The rapid growth of data centres in Ireland (which accounted for 22% of national electricity demand in 2024 and could reach 31% by 2034) poses a key adequacy risk. New policy updates now require data centres to provide onsite or nearby generation equal to peak demand, helping reduce grid reliance and improve flexibility during stress periods. Future adequacy assessments should better reflect both the demand impact of data centres and the extent to which policy measures can mitigate adequacy risks.
What are ACER’s recommendations?
To further strengthen the assessment, ACER recommends that TSOs:
- Include a viability assessment of adequacy resources in the central scenario to confirm the required resources are realistically available.
- Ensure revenue consistency between market viability and dispatch models so that both tools reflect aligned market revenues and investment signals.
- Consider multiple revenue streams in the assessment to provide a more robust evaluation of resource profitability.
- Include the planned second North-South Interconnector in all the three analyses.
- Consider greater operational flexibility for gas units during periods of scarcity.
- Incorporate storage and demand response expansion, including flexibility from data centres, for all target years till 2035.
What are the next steps?
ACER encourages TSOs to consider these recommendations to ensure a more accurate assessment of adequacy risks.


